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?源: 南方日?网?版     ??: 2018年10月16日 14:23:06
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(  本)(?)(?)(者)(?)(莉)(  近)(期)(市)(?)(跌)(宕)(起)(伏)(,大)(幅)(波)(?)(令)(各)(方)(投)(?)(者)(在)(?)(幅)(震)(?)(的)(走)(?)(中)(倍)(感)(?)(?)(,在)(注)(?)(制)(改)(革)(、?)(券)(法)(修)(?)(、?)(板)(制)(度)(理)(?)(等)(制)(度)(性)(改)(革)(呼)(之)(欲)(出)(的)(大)(背)(景)(下)(,市)(?)(?)(切)(?)(注)(改)(革)(牛)(市)(行)(情)(的)(到)(?)(。深)(圳)(?)(?)(投)(?)(?)(?)(?)(道)(林)(?)(?)(,跨)(年)(行)(情)(仍)(然)(值)(得)(期)(待)(,?)(?)(股)(和)(成)(?)(股)(板)(?)(之)(?)(的)(?)(?)(板)(也)(?)(逐)(步)(?)(?)(但)(?)(?)(集)(中)(表)(?)(在)(?)(股)(的)(活)(?)(上)(。深)(圳)(?)(方)(平)(f投)(?)(研)(究)(?)(?)(尹)(?)(?)(表)(示)(,未)(?)(大)(?)(指)(?)(仍)(?)(?)(于)(?)(段)(性)(休)(整)(?)(段)(,但)(部)(分)(超)(跌)(及)(?)(?)(的)(板)(?)(及)(相)(?)(?)(股)(?)(存)(在)(短)(?)(机)(?)(,?)(外)(?)(金)(也)(?)(不)(?)(涌)(入)(,明)(年)(市)(?)(仍)(?)(?)(涌)(?)(牛)(股)(。  ?)(股)(料)(活)(?)(  中)(?)(?)(券)(?)(:如)(何)(看)(待)(近)(期)(市)(?)(的)(?)(幅)(震)(?)(?  ?)(道)(林)(:今)(年)(市)(?)(表)(?)(活)(?)(主)(要)(集)(中)(在)(?)(重)(板)(?)(,助)(推)(上)(?)(指)(?)(不)(?)(上)(行)(,但)(行)(情)(的)(“二)(八)(分)(化)(”非)(常)(突)(出)(,80%股)(票)(在)(震)(?)(走)(平)(或)(下)(跌)(,只)(有)(20%股)(票)(在)(上)(?)(。?)(主)(要)(是)(因)(?)(本)(?)(行)(情)(仍)(是)(?)(构)(性)(牛)(市)(表)(?)(,指)(?)(震)(?)(幅)(度)(增)(加)(也)(体)(?)(了)(?)(构)(性)(特)(征)(,去)(年)(是)(大)(?)(股)(跌)(小)(?)(股)(?)(;今)(年)(?)(是)(小)(?)(股)(跌)(大)(?)(股)(?)(,?)(是)(板)(?)(?)(?)(的)(?)(奏)(。?)(也)(意)(味)(?)(投)(?)(者)(如)(果)(?)(有)(准)(确)(把)(握)(指)(?)(行)(情)(的)(?)(奏)(,就)(?)(?)(失)(投)(?)(机)(?)(。  尹)(?)(?)(:?)(市)(?)(表)(?)(看)(,今)(年)(是)(大)(?)(?)(重)(股)(上)(?)(,而)(去)(年)(?)(是)(小)(?)(股)(上)(?)(,目)(前)(的)(?)(?)(本)(身)(就)(是)(去)(年)(?)(构)(化)(牛)(市)(的)(延)(伸)(,今)(年)(的)(牛)(市)(?)(构)(化)(特)(征)(非)(常)(明)(?)(。比)(如)(在)(2006、2007年)(是)(普)(?)(性)(的)(,?)(?)(复)(?)(使)(得)(所)(有)(上)(市)(公)(司)(?)(益)(,并)(集)(中)(在)(某)(一)(?)(?)(?)(段)(?)(。而)(今)(年)(?)(?)(复)(?)(相)(?)(?)(?)(是)(一)(?)(L型)(的)(筑)(底)(走)(?)(,不)(同)(上)(市)(公)(司)(?)(益)(?)(?)(?)(拉)(得)(比)(?)(?)(?)(一)(些)(,造)(成)(不)(同)(板)(?)(的)(股)(票)(表)(?)(不)(同)(。  中)(?)(?)(券)(?)(:跨)(年)(之)(?)(,市)(?)(走)(?)(?)(如)(何)(演)(?)(?  ?)(道)(林)(:此)(前)(波)(?)(?)(?)(行)(情)(的)(出)(?)(?)(?)(上)(也)(?)(示)(?)(未)(?)(行)(情)(的)(向)(好)(,大)(量)(?)(金)(仍)(?)(推)(?)(市)(?)(往)(上)(走)(,?)(也)(?)(令)(A股)(市)(?)(的)(?)(?)(效)(?)(依)(然)(?)(?)(。我)(?)(?)(跨)(年)(度)(行)(情)(里)(面)(,更)(多)(?)(?)(向)(于)(?)(股)(演)(?)(,?)(?)(不)(同)(板)(?)(?)(?)(之)(后)(,未)(?)(市)(?)(就)(?)(出)(?)(?)(股)(分)(化)(。?)(?)(上)(?)(种)(分)(化)(,?)(?)(几)(日)(的)(表)(?)(也)(可)(以)(看)(到)(,?)(管)(指)(?)(深)(度)(下)(跌)(,但)(仍)(有)(近)(千)(只)(?)(股)(在)(上)(?)(,?)(就)(表)(明)(?)(股)(表)(?)(分)(化)(?)(是)(未)(?)(?)(?)(,投)(?)(者)(需)(要)(?)(指)(?)(重)(?)(股)(。  尹)(?)(?)(:前)(期)(大)(?)(?)(重)(股)(出)(?)(暴)(?)(,接)(下)(?)(也)(?)(?)(入)(一)(?)(休)(整)(?)(段)(,?)(也)(?)(令)(股)(指)(步)(入)(震)(?)(期)(。在)(震)(?)(期)(?)(,?)(股)(的)(活)(?)(度)(?)(?)(增)(加)(,前)(期)(?)(?)(的)(小)(票)(可)(能)(?)(有)(表)(?)(,而)(在)(大)(?)(?)(整)(?)(程)(中)(,大)(?)(股)(的)(短)(?)(超)(跌)(也)(?)(?)(?)(机)(?)(。整)(体)(上)(看)(,市)(?)(?)(境)(?)(好)(、千)(?)(成)(交)(量)(?)(底)(、?)(外)(?)(金)(不)(?)(涌)(入)(的)(情)(?)(下)(,?)(2014到)(2015年)(,肯)(定)(?)(?)(有)(更)(牛)(股)(票)(出)(?)(。我)(?)(?)(明)(年)(成)(?)(?)(股)(票)(机)(?)(?)(?)(慢)(慢)(到)(?)(,但)(其)(中)(分)(化)(也)(?)(更)(?)(明)(?)(,小)(部)(分)(股)(票)(?)(崛)(起)(。  ?)(?)(板)(?)(象)(或)(?)(弱)(  中)(?)(?)(券)(?)(:不)(少)(投)(?)(者)(?)(?)(此)(?)(行)(情)(由)(?)(金)(?)(?)(,明)(年)(?)(金)(牛)(市)(?)(否)(持)(?)(?  ?)(道)(林)(:今)(年)(以)(?)(,?)(金)(推)(?)(的)(牛)(市)(?)(?)(上)(?)(万)(?)(成)(交)(量)(上)(的)(确)(可)(以)(体)(?)(出)(?)(。?)(?)(?)(?)(金)(性)(?)(看)(,海)(外)(?)(金)(、房)(地)(?)(?)(金)(以)(及)(?)(?)(?)(金)(等)(均)(?)(?)(原)(?)(的)(市)(?)(流)(出)(,并)(看)(中)(A股)(的)(价)(值)(洼)(地)(优)(?)(而)(不)(?)(涌)(入)(。2015年)(,?)(批)(?)(金)(仍)(?)(?)(持)(?)(?)(?)(,?)(是)(因)(?)(相)(比)(?)(外)(成)(熟)(市)(?)(,?)(似)(?)(行)(、券)(商)(等)(估)(值)(仍)(相)(?)(?)(于)(低)(位)(,指)(?)(也)(尚)(未)(走)(到)(?)(端)(,?)(金)(依)(然)(看)(中)(A股)(投)(?)(价)(值)(,但)(?)(金)(可)(能)(不)(?)(像)(2014年)(一)(?)(跑)(步)(?)(?)(,而)(是)(根)(据)(市)(?)(的)(?)(奏)(?)(?)(?)(?)(。  尹)(?)(?)(:可)(以)(?)(?)(,明)(年)(?)(金)(面)(?)(比)(今)(年)(更)(好)(,一)(方)(面)(是)(整)(体)(?)(?)(政)(策)(?)(于)(放)(松)(,?)(政)(政)(策)(?)(?)(更)(有)(力)(度)(,市)(?)(的)(?)(金)(?)(?)(?)(比)(?)(好)(。另)(一)(方)(面)(,整)(?)(股)(市)(?)(富)(效)(?)(凸)(?)(,尤)(其)(是)(?)(入)(12月)(份)(,?)(金)(跑)(步)(?)(?)(的)(?)(象)(非)(常)(明)(?)(,市)(?)(成)(交)(量)(也)(在)(不)(?)(放)(大)(,伴)(?)(第)(一)(波)(?)(金)(?)(入)(,后)(?)(?)(?)(有)(更)(多)(后)(知)(后)(?)(?)(金)(?)(?)(。此)(外)(,?)(?)(?)(收)(益)(率)(下)(降)(,令)(房)(地)(?)(?)(?)(金)(、信)(托)(?)(?)(金)(?)(股)(市)(?)(趣)(大)(增)(,A股)(?)(成)(?)(?)(批)(?)(金)(更)(好)(的)(投)(?)(通)(道)(。  中)(?)(?)(券)(?)(:?)(去)(年)(到)(今)(年)(,?)(?)(股)(和)(成)(?)(股)(之)(?)(的)(“?)(?)(板)(”表)(?)(突)(出)(,?)(种)(?)(?)(明)(年)(?)(否)(持)(?)(?  ?)(道)(林)(:今)(年)(?)(种)(?)(?)(板)(效)(?)(,比)(如)(?)(?)(股)(?)(小)(?)(股)(就)(跌)(,小)(?)(股)(?)(?)(?)(股)(就)(跌)(,?)(?)(上)(是)(受)(市)(?)(情)(?)(?)(?)(。而)(?)(?)(?)(基)(本)(面)(考)(?)(,投)(?)(小)(?)(股)(和)(大)(?)(股)(取)(得)(收)(益)(并)(不)(?)(突)(。明)(年)(一)(旦)(市)(?)(情)(?)(回)(?)(理)(性)(,市)(?)(?)(金)(?)(?)(在)(大)(?)(股)(和)(小)(?)(股)(中)(同)(?)(?)(?)(优)(?)(的)(具)(有)(高)(成)(?)(性)(的)(投)(?)(?)(的)(,?)(?)(就)(不)(?)(出)(?)(那)(么)(明)(?)(?)(?)(板)(行)(情)(,明)(年)(?)(种)(情)(?)(可)(能)(?)(?)(弱)(。  尹)(?)(?)(:去)(年)(和)(今)(年)(是)(完)(全)(不)(同)(的)(?)(格)(,即)(?)(成)(?)(股)(?)(?)(到)(大)(?)(?)(?)(股)(,而)(到)(了)(明)(年)(,市)(?)(很)(可)(能)(?)(?)(格)(切)(?)(,一)(方)(面)(市)(?)(重)(心)(?)(是)(?)(移)(到)(成)(?)(股)(方)(面)(,但)(?)(集)(中)(在)(成)(?)(性)(?)(股)(上)(。新)(股)(的)(?)(充)(也)(?)(令)(市)(?)(?)(金)(?)(生)(?)(移)(到)(新)(的)(成)(?)(股)(。另)(一)(方)(面)(是)(?)(重)(股)(表)(?)(也)(?)(出)(?)(分)(化)(,今)(年)(券)(商)(基)(建)(等)(?)(?)(股)(?)(幅)(比)(?)(大)(,但)(?)(行)(、保)(?)(、有)(色)(、煤)(炭)(、?)(?)(等)(?)(幅)(相)(?)(?)(?)(不)(是)(特)(?)(大)(,可)(能)(存)(在)(波)(段)(性)(机)(?)(。?)(也)(意)(味)(?)(?)(?)(股)(和)(成)(?)(股)(的)(机)(?)(可)(能)(在)(明)(年)(?)(同)(?)(出)(?)(,只)(要)(有)(?)(?)(支)(?)(,?)(些)(品)(种)(都)(?)(受)(到)(市)(?)(?)(注)(。
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